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[55] U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Set to be Released Today!

Posted on 05 March 2010 by ForexYard

2010-03-05: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Set to be Released Today!
The forex market is bracing itself for some heavy volatility as the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls figure is set to be released today. The monthly report is one of the most significant market indicators and will heavily impact Dollar pairs.

USD
The U.S. Dollar, coming off a fairly bearish week, may see a reversal of fortunes today with the Non-Farm Payrolls Report set to be released at 13:30 GMT today. EUR/USD saw some heavy fluctuations throughout the week, with the Euro making gains as of late based new plans to cut Greek deficits. Similarly, GBP/USD was fairly bullish as risk taking among investors returned. Currently, the pairs are trading at 1.3597 and 1.5057 respectively.

The Non-Farms Payroll figure is forecasted to show that the U.S. economy shed approximately 56K jobs last month. The figure is higher then last month, which at first glance might mean the Dollar could turn bearish in trading today. That being said, the U.S. economy has shown impressive signs of growth lately. A NFP figure that meets or exceeds expectations will likely increase investor confidence in the U.S. economy, and could lead to major gains for the greenback.

In addition to the NFP report, the official U.S. unemployment rate will also be published at 13:30 GMT. While this is generally seen as a lagging indicator, the figure could influence USD for the foreseeable future. This is especially true as next week does not have a lot of major USD news events.

EUR
The Euro appears to have entered a bearish trend in overnight trading as risk appetite has subsided ahead of a key U.S. employment report. Earlier this week, the Euro was able to see some significant gains following a more detailed plan for a Greek bailout. Following the European Central Bank decision to keep interest rates at their record lows, as well as the announcement from the head of the ECB that EU growth would be uneven, the Euro began its downward descent.

EUR/USD is currently trading at around the 1.3590 level, down almost 90 pips from yesterday afternoon. EUR/GBP is also down significantly, having dropped almost 40 pips since yesterday to its currently level of 0.9034.

In addition to the Non Farm Payrolls report, Euro traders will also want to pay attention to the British PPI Input figure set to be released at 09:30 GMT. The report is a leading indicator of consumer inflation in the U.K. Analysts are forecasting a low figure of around 0.1%, which could help the Euro make some much needed gains against Sterling.

JPY
Following a fairly bearish week for USD/JPY, it appears that the Yen has steadily reversed courses against the greenback. Beginning yesterday afternoon, the pair shot up almost 90 pips to reach its current level of 89.22. The Yen has faired better against the Euro as of late with the EUR/JPY falling over 70 pips in trading yesterday. The pair has bounced back slightly, and is currently trading at the 121.28 level.

Today, Yen levels will likely be determined by the result of the U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Report. If the figure comes in as forecasted, the Dollar will likely make gains on JPY. That being said, if this does occur, both the Euro and Pound will likely drop. The Yen should be able to capitalize on the fall of its European rivals.

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